Sep 2026· Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres· Vol 131· 0 citations· 45 references
Abstract
Coupled atmosphere‐ocean models exhibit significant biases in simulating the Sea Surface Temperature (SST) annual cycle, with substantial inter‐model discrepancies. The Chinese Academy of Sciences Earth System Model (CAS‐ESM2‐0), as one of the models contributing to the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6), displays a more pronounced SST annual cycle in the eastern equatorial Pacific when compared with observations. This study investigates the main components of the ocean mixed layer heat budget in this model and physical processes responsible for the SST bias using a diagnostic approach with controlled numerical experiments. We found that ocean dynamics dominates the model's SST annual cycle and its bias relative to observations, and the biases in ocean currents are caused by the annual cycle bias of surface winds in the standalone atmospheric model. Anomalous westerly bias in the boreal winter (DJF) drives eastward ocean currents, leading to meridional convergence of ocean currents and downwelling, thus excessive warming, while anomalous easterly in the boreal summer (JJA) drive divergence and upwelling that produce excessive cooling. The thermodynamics, although having a large impact on the SST heat budget, plays a passive role and a negative feedback in the model: It responds to SST, and the higher the SST, the larger the loss of the heat content of the mixed layer. The negative feedback is from both the latent heat flux and the shortwave radiation modulated by variations in clouds. These results offer insights into the causes of the equatorial Pacific SST annual cycle biases in coupled models.
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Based on the Global Precipitation Climatology Centre (GPCC) monthly precipitation data, the Extended Reconstructed Sea Surface Temperature (SST) version 5 (ERSSTv5) dataset derived from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), and the Fifth‐generation European Centre for Medium‐Range Weather Foreca...
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Tropical cyclones (TCs) in the western North Pacific (WNP) pose significant threats to socio‐economic systems, yet their variability during the autumn season remains relatively understudied compared to summer. This study examines the interannual and decadal variations of WNP TC genesis in autumn using reanalysis data s...
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