Earth’s Future Terrestrial water flux responses to global warming in tropical rainforest areas

Changes in the Seasonal Cycle of Precipitation and Heat Extremes Over Tropical Land Regions: An Amazon Story

We analyze observations and experiments from a super‐ensemble of Earth System Models (seven models, each with initial condition ensembles of three members or more) over tropical land regions, aiming at detecting delays in the onset of the rainy season and concurrent changes in the statistics of heat extremes. The expec...

The Response of Tropical Land-Ocean Precipitation Partitioning to SST and CO2 Increase in Global Storm-Resolving Simulations

The tropical land-ocean precipitation partitioning is skewed toward the land. This study assesses how CO 2 increase and uniform sea surface temperature increase affect this partitioning. We analyze 14-year global simulations conducted with the ICON model at 10-km horizontal grid spacing, at which convection is si...

How and where has the climate changed?

Quantifying climate change across standardized reference periods is essential for tracking the pace and spatial structure of ongoing shifts in Earth’s climate system. However, robust and comprehensive global comparisons between consecutive climatological normals remain absent. Using high-resolution ERA5-Land reanalysis...

Recent intensification of extreme precipitation over East Antarctica driven by increases in greenhouse gases and stratospheric ozone

Robust increase in extreme future precipitation in the Lake Victoria Basin based on km-scale regional climate projections

Long multi-decadal transient convection-permitting climate simulations are crucial for reliable regional climate projections. However, the large computational resources required are often not available, particularly in the context of African climate change studies. This poses challenges for regions like the Lake Vict...

Contrasting seasonal rainfall responses to deforestation in the Southwestern Amazon Basin

The Amazon Basin continues to be impacted by deforestation, causing a decrease in evapotranspiration and the expansion of hotter, drier land surfaces, two factors that impact spatial precipitation distribution differently 1,2 . Recent modeling studies show a wide range of predicted impacts on Amazonian precipitat...