Comparative and Interpretable Machine Learning for Fly Ash Geopolymer Strength: Prediction, Validation and Optimization

Interpretable machine learning for predicting splitting strength of asphalt concrete: insights from SHAP analysis

An interpretable machine-learning framework for predicting the splitting strength of asphalt concrete and supporting data-driven mixture design and a GUI platform integrating prediction and SHAP-based explanation was developed to improve the accessibility and practical applicability of the proposed framework.

Novel Interpretable Machine Learning Models for Predicting Compressive Strength of Nano-Silica Concrete

This study provides a robust, interpretable, and generalizable ML framework for optimizing nano-silica concrete mix design and highlights the strong potential of ML, particularly ensemble models combined with explainable AI techniques, to improve prediction reliability, reduce trial-and-error experimentation, and support more cost-efficient and sustainable concrete design.

Optimization and predictive measurement of compressive strength of iron ore slag modified concrete using data-driven supervised machine learning algorithms.

This study develops an integrated machine learning-experimental framework to predict the compressive strength (CS) of concrete incorporating ternary industrial wastes glass powder, marble powder, and iron ore slag. For this purpose, a dataset comprising 366 mix ratios and corresponding CS values was compiled from various sources for analysis. Advanced machine learning (ML) algorithms, including extreme gradient boosting (XGB), gradient boosting, and random forest (RF), were employed alongside hybrid techniques such as XGB-GBR and XGB-RF to evaluate the influence of these materials on strength. Based on the outcomes of the analysis, the hybrid XGB-GBR model demonstrates the highest balanced performance for both training (R2 = 0.911) and testing (R2 = 0.869) data sets. For validating the ML modeling and developing an interactive graphical user interface (GUI), experimental evaluation of CS and scanning electron microscopy was conducted. Additionally, feature importance modeling and optimization identified curing age and coarse aggregate as the most influential factors that would impact the model prediction. The contribution of this research lies in the combined modeling and experimental evaluation of a ternary waste concrete system, along with the development of a GUI. This deployable GUI will enhance the industrial applicability of ML-based concrete optimization by reducing material costs, minimizing trial batching, and supporting sustainable mix design practices.

Predicting the Workability of PCE-Modified Cement–Fly Ash Pastes with Explainable Machine Learning

Reliable assessment of polycarboxylate ether (PCE)–binder combinations requires predictive models whose interpolation performance is distinguished from their performance when an entire formulation is absent from training. This study examined 616 cement–fly ash pastes prepared using twenty-two in-house PCE formulations, four fly ash replacement levels (0, 15, 30, and 45 wt %), seven PCE dosages (0.50–2.00 wt % of binder), and a fixed water-to-binder ratio of 0.35. Marsh funnel flow time was measured for all mixtures, whereas mini-slump measurements were available for 252 mixtures comprising nine PCE formulations. Ten regression algorithms were evaluated using 3 × 5-fold repeated cross-validation and nine non-algebraically redundant input variables. XGBoost achieved R2 = 0.946 ± 0.027 and RMSE = 8.40 s for flow time, and R2 = 0.778 ± 0.061 and RMSE = 0.471 cm for mini-slump. These random-resampling results describe interpolation among formulations represented in the training folds. When each PCE chemistry was withheld in turn, the mean R2 was 0.865 ± 0.198 for flow time and 0.034 ± 0.530 for mini-slump. Performance also decreased when the boundary fly ash levels were withheld. SHAP and permutation analyses identified PCE dose and fly ash replacement as the strongest predictors, while the formulation-level descriptors made smaller contributions. These findings represent associations learned from the present dataset and do not constitute direct evidence of adsorption or dispersion mechanisms. At a nominal 90% level, split-conformal intervals achieved empirical coverages of 85.5% for flow time—moderately below the nominal level, within finite-sample binomial fluctuation—and 90.2% for mini-slump on a random test partition; across fifty repeated train–calibration–test splits, the mean coverages were 89.4 ± 3.6% and 90.1 ± 5.8%. The flow-time model is suitable for preliminary screening within the investigated factor ranges, whereas the mini-slump model should be restricted to interpolation among the sampled formulations.

Experimental Investigation and Machine Learning-Based Prediction of Marshall Stability of Stone Mastic Asphalt Using Steel Slag

This study applies several machine learning models to predict the Marshall stability of Stone Mastic Asphalt mixtures incorporating steel slag as a partial replacement for conventional coarse aggregates, with CatBoost providing the best performance.

Machine Learning and Explainable Artificial Intelligence for Predicting Unconfined Compressive Strength in Carbonated Stabilized Soils