Skip to content
Open access

Public Responses to Disaster Warnings from Government Versus AI: Evidence from Behavioral Experiments

Sep 2026 · International Journal of Disaster Risk Science · 0 citations · 61 references

TL;DR

It is shown that government-issued warnings generate higher trust than AI warnings, and consistent messages from both sources further enhance trust and protective intentions, which support a dual-pathway conceptual framework of decision making in multi-source warning contexts.

Abstract

With the growing integration of artificial intelligence (AI) into warning systems, an important question concerns how the public interprets and responds to warnings delivered by governmental authorities and AI systems. Existing studies have mainly examined single-source effects, while the dynamics of multi-source warnings under conditions of consistency and conflict remain insufficiently explored. Based on two online experiments with residents in China (N = 599), this study investigates the psychological processes of information trust and anticipated regret that shape how the public responds to different warning sources and consistency. The findings show that government-issued warnings generate higher trust than AI warnings, and consistent messages from both sources further enhance trust and protective intentions. In conflicting warning scenarios, anticipated regret becomes prominent, contributing to individuals’ tendency to follow the higher-level warning. The results support a dual-pathway conceptual framework of decision making in multi-source warning contexts, where cognitive trust grounded in institutional authority and technological support coexists with emotional motivation driven by anticipated regret. This study fills an empirical gap in multi-source warning research and offers theoretical and practical insights for building disaster warning systems that integrate institutional credibility with emerging AI technologies.

Read PDF

Similar papers

Review Sep 2026

Conflict Early-Warning Using Big Data: Accuracy, Ethics, and Governance

Conflict early-warning systems have evolved significantly with the emergence of big data, artificial intelligence, and machine learning, offering new opportunities to anticipate violent conflict and support timely preventive interventions. This paper examines the use of big data in conflict early-warning, focusing on t...

K. Samuel J. · 0 citations
Open access Sep 2026

Artificial Intelligence and Social Trust in Earthquake Early Warning Systems: A Comparative Perspective

This study argues that earthquake early warning systems should be evaluated not only in terms of their technical efficiency but also in terms of their capacity to generate social trust. The effectiveness of these systems is shaped not only by their technical performance but also by their ability to influence disaster o...

Dilek Peri · 0 citations
Review Open access Sep 2026

Assessing Community Risk Perception and Knowledge of Early Warning System During Flood

This study assesses community risk perception, knowledge, and the effectiveness of early warning systems (EWS) during floods in Gasma, a rural community in Karasuwa LGA, Yobe State, Nigeria. Despite technological advancements in flood forecasting, a persistent disconnect between warning generation and community action...

Usman Adamu, Mohammed Musa Gasma · 0 citations
Open access Sep 2026

Communicating and Constructing Risk: Government and Public Interactions in Responding to Heat Risks.

Extreme heat is an increasingly important public-health and governance challenge, yet less is known about how public and governmental communication construct heat risk differently and how these communication processes evolve over time. Drawing on Hilgartner's taxonomy, this study compares 49,633 public-initiated messag...

Liang-Dong Lu, Wei-Jian Jiang, Jia Xu · 0 citations
Open access Oct 2026

Evolutionary Characteristics and Influencing Factors of Public Response Behaviors in Sudden Natural Disasters: Evidence from Typhoon Ragasa in China

Sudden natural disasters pose growing challenges to emergency governance. Understanding public response behaviors is critical to effective risk communication. Social media comments provide valuable data for examining such behaviors during disasters. To investigate the characteristics and influencing factors of public r...

Jia-Xin Zhang, Yan-Yan Wang · 0 citations
Preprint Sep 2026

From Knowledge to Legitimacy: A Philosophical Problem Discovery of AI Implementation Readiness in Public Health Disease Surveillance

A theoretical framework is developed that conceptualizes AI implementation in disease surveillance as simultaneously a socio-technical and normative process and offers a structured perspective for designing more context-sensitive, ethically grounded, and institutionally sustainable AI-enabled disease surveillance syste...

Tithi Mitra, Souvik Pramanik, Most. Aysha Siddika Sumona et al. · 0 citations

We use cookies to run the site and, with your consent, for analytics and to show ads. See our Cookie Policy.