Dependence-Adjusted Peaks over Threshold Modeling of Extreme Daily Precipitation in Japan

Bayesian assessment of return levels for observed temperature extremes across Odisha in India

Temperature-extreme risk is often assessed through trend-based indices, but regional climate-risk planning also requires uncertainty-aware estimates of rare thermal events and their spatial variability. This study presents a grid-wise Bayesian extreme-value assessment of observed temperature extremes over Odisha, India...

Seasonal asymmetry in extreme daily rainfall over Tamil Nadu: Bayesian spatial return levels and a stationarity benchmark

Reorganization of the Spatial Dependence Structure of Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall Extremes, 1951–2025

Point-wise intensification of daily rainfall extremes over India is well established, yet whether their joint spatial behavior is also changing has not been tested. We address this with 75 years (1951–2025) of 0.25° gridded India Meteorological Department daily rainfall, quantifying June–September (JJAS) extremal depen...

Analysis of Annual Trends in Mean and Extreme Temperature and Precipitation Events in Haiti over the Last Four Decades, 1981–2020

Extreme weather events have increasingly disrupted Haiti’s socio-economic development. This study assesses long-term trends in mean and extreme temperature, precipitation, and near-surface humidity indices across Haiti for 1981–2020, using ERA5-Land temperature and humidity fields together with Multi-Source Weighted-En...

Climatology and trends of extreme precipitation in France: evaluation of an explicit-convection regional climate model

Climate change is intensifying the global water cycle, with extreme precipitation events increasing in frequency and intensity at the global scale. While trends in daily precipitation extremes are well-documented, sub-daily extremes – critical for flash flood risk – remain poorly characterized, due to limited long-term...

Temporal variability of extreme precipitation in Cotonou: stable climate signal and worsening urban flood impacts

Urban flooding has worsened significantly in Cotonou (major flood events in 2010, 2018, and 2020), yet this deterioration occurs against a backdrop of largely stable extreme precipitation. This study analyses the temporal variability of extreme precipitation indices in Cotonou over 40 years (1984–2024) in order to ex...