Advanced Approach to Assess Groundwater Storage and Water Availability in Karst Aquifers at Regional Scale
Abstract
Quantifying groundwater storage in karst aquifers remains challenging because of their heterogeneous structure and the scarcity of direct observations. This study proposes a pragmatic approach for characterizing storage and water availability in karst systems at the regional scale using long-term hydrographs from 16 Swiss karst springs and rivers. We distinguish between seasonal storage, associated with recharge events, and low-water storage, which sustains discharge during periods without significant recharge. Seasonal storage was estimated at approximately 30–70 mm for most investigated systems, while total storage reached up to about 140 to 180 mm at some sites, based on recharge–discharge modelling. Low-water storage was estimated to be on the order of 200 mm across most investigated systems, despite differences in hydrogeological settings. Analysis of low-water recession curves showed that most natural springs analyzed in this study followed a similar master recession curve, with low-water conditions defined as beginning at a specific transition discharge of 11.25 L s−1 km−2. This similarity provides the basis for a regional drought index that estimates the volume of remaining groundwater storage and forecasts discharge several weeks in advance. The results also support a conceptual model in which epikarstic, epiphreatic, and deeper storage compartments attenuate short-term discharge variability while sustaining low-water discharge over prolonged periods. Comparison with non-karst catchments shows that karst hydrogeological systems dampen peak flows but sustain baseflow through distinct storage reservoirs. This approach delivers quantitative indicators to assess drought, manage groundwater, and foresee water shortages in karst regions. Future work will test its validity outside the Swiss dataset. Despite discussed uncertainties in discharge measurements and catchment delineation, results demonstrate that dedicated hydrograph-based analyses can yield robust and transferable insights into karst groundwater storage at regional scales.