The findings demonstrate the capability of AI models in minimising dropout risks and enhancing academic performance through prompt, data-informed assistance.
Abstract
Increasing student dropout rates, caused by social, academic, and personal obstacles, raise significant concerns for educational systems. This research introduces an AI-based method for the early detection and support of at-risk students utilizing the Student Final Grade Prediction dataset from two schools in Portugal. Following data preprocessing, which involved cleaning and feature extraction via t-distributed Stochastic Neighbor Embedding (t-SNE), a hybrid model integrating Tabular Data Network and Capsule Networks (TC-Net) was created for performance forecasting. The model obtained a Mean Squared Error (MSE) of 0.43 and an R-squared value of 60.57%, demonstrating robust predictive accuracy. Personalised strategies were then implemented, targeting 90% of at-risk students. Specifically, 80% participated in tailored learning plans, and 70% accessed tutoring support. The findings demonstrate the capability of AI models in minimising dropout risks and enhancing academic performance through prompt, data-informed assistance.
The findings indicate that machine learning methods can effectively support early dropout prediction and decision-support systems in higher education institutions.
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The results show that incorporating synthetic data exclusively into the training set improves predictive performance, particularly for minority classes, reflected in gains in precision, recall, and F1-score, while preserving evaluation on untouched real test data.
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Student dropout is a significant issue in higher education, affecting both students and institutions. Early identification of at-risk students can help universities improve retention. This study addresses student dropout prediction as a binary classification problem using 4,424 student records. To support realistic ear...
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A machine learning-based approach for the early prediction of dropout risk, based on academic, socioeconomic, and demographic variables is proposed, which found the best-performing models were Random Forest and its Balanced Random Forest Classifier variant.
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An academic risk profiling and tailored student guidance using machine learning techniques for universities in Kinshasa is developed and is therefore a decision-support tool rather than an automated decision-maker.
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A hybrid prediction framework that integrates deep neural representation learning with stacked ensemble architecture provides a robust and effective framework for early student dropout prediction, supporting data-driven educational interventions and informed decision-making in higher education.
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