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Uncertainty-Aware Automatic Flight Terrain Avoidance System

Oct 2026 · Journal of Guidance Control and Dynamics · pp. 1-17 · 0 citations · 19 references

TL;DR

This paper introduces an uncertainty-aware framework for terrain collision prevention that integrates high-fidelity 6-degree-of-freedom flight dynamics with probabilistic maneuver planning and employs polynomial chaos expansion to propagate uncertainties, enabling real-time trajectory prediction and collision risk assessment.

Abstract

Aircraft-terrain collision avoidance is a cornerstone of aviation safety, critical to mitigating catastrophic risks posed by unintended ground contact during flight operations. Generally, existing systems rely on simplified models, deterministic assumptions, or a single predefined maneuver. These approaches often neglect dynamic uncertainties, pilot decision-making variability, and real-time computational constraints, limiting their adaptability in complex operational environments. This paper introduces an uncertainty-aware framework for terrain collision prevention that integrates high-fidelity 6-degree-of-freedom flight dynamics with probabilistic maneuver planning. The proposed system employs polynomial chaos expansion to propagate uncertainties, enabling real-time trajectory prediction and collision risk assessment. Combining uncertainty quantification, high-fidelity dynamics, and probabilistic collision detection, this work advances the robustness of autonomous terrain avoidance systems, particularly in high-stress or dynamically complex environments.

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