FraudDebate-Agent: A Multi-Agent LLM Framework with an Evidence-Based Debate Mechanism for Financial Statement Fraud Detection
Abstract
Financial statement fraud inflicts large and recurring losses on capital markets, yet the dominant detection paradigm still relies on single, black-box classifiers (e.g., RUSBoost) trained on structured accounting ratios alone. Two limitations follow: (i) the rich, unstructured Management Discussion and Analysis (MD&A) narrative of the 10-K filing is discarded, and (ii) the resulting scores are difficult for auditors to trust because they carry no transparent, standards-aligned rationale. Recent large language model (LLM) systems have shown that multi-agent collaboration is more robust than a single LLM for anomaly detection, but no study has systematically transferred this paradigm to listed-company statement fraud. We propose FraudDebate-Agent, a four-role multi-agent system in which a Quantitative Analyst agent scores 28 raw accounting items and 14 ratios with gradient-boosted and tabular attention models, a Narrative Auditor agent quantifies tone, linguistic uncertainty, and year-over-year textual novelty of the MD&A with FinBERT, and an Industry Peer agent uses retrieval-augmented generation to measure industry-relative anomaly. A Critic–Debate agent then orchestrates a pair-wise Evidence-based Multi-Agent Debate (EMAD) that reconciles disagreement across modalities and arbitrates a reconciled fraud-risk assessment, which is aggregated over a tri-modal evidence graph. Our contributions are as follows: (1) the first use of an evidence-grounded debate mechanism for accounting fraud, which materially reduces LLM hallucination; (2) a numerical–textual–peer evidence graph that fuses heterogeneous signals; and (3) an explainable report aligned with the PCAOB AS 2401 fraud-risk taxonomy. On AAER-labelled firm-years linked across a SEC financial dataset and EDGAR-CORPUS, FraudDebate-Agent improves the area under the ROC curve and the rare-event ranking metric NDCG@k over the strongest single-modality and single-LLM baselines while producing substantially more faithful explanations. We frame the system as a fraud-risk screening and risk-ranking tool for AAER-labelled misstatement risk rather than a determination of fraudulent intent. We report results over multiple seeds to reflect real-world stochasticity and discuss limitations and cross-domain applications.