ECG for laboratory values:A comprehensive physiological and technical analysis

Abstract

Laboratory measurements are essential for clinical decision making but typically require invasive blood sampling. Recent research suggests that ECG recordings may contain information beyond cardiac rhythm and provide information related to laboratory values. This thesis investigates NT-proBNP prediction from ECG recordings and patient metadata using a multimodal deep learning framework, while considering the physiological plausibility of ECG-based prediction. It also compares a 1-lead configuration using lead II with the corresponding 12-lead configuration. Additional experiments on glucose, hemoglobin, and potassium are presented in the appendix. Regression, binary classification, and three-class classification experiments were conducted using MIMIC-IV, with the three-class task based on clinically established thresholds. The 12-lead configuration consistently achieved better performance. Regression reached a mean absolute error of 534.98 pg/mL for 1-lead and 514.27 pg/mL for 12-lead. Binary classification achieved AUROCs of 0.849 and 0.876, respectively, while three-class classification achieved macro-averaged AUROCs of 0.738 and 0.752. The results indicate that precise NT-proBNP regression remains challenging, whereas broader concentration ranges can be classified more effectively. The findings are consistent with the physiological hypothesis that ECG characteristics and NT-proBNP concentrations reflect shared cardiovascular processes. ECG-based NT-proBNP prediction may therefore provide complementary information, particularly for classifying broader concentration ranges. However, laboratory measurements remain necessary, and validation on independent datasets is required.