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AI-Enabled Decision Support for Volunteer Allocation in Disaster Management: A Three-Stage Optimization Framework

Oct 2026 · NATO science for peace and security series. D, Information and communication security
Facility Location and Emergency Management

Abstract

Recent advances in artificial intelligence (AI) are transforming disaster management through intelligent decision support, predictive resource allocation, and adaptive operational planning. Volunteer management — a critical yet underexplored challenge in humanitarian logistics — represents a domain where AI-driven optimization can deliver substantial operational gains. This chapter presents a three-stage AI-enabled decision support framework for volunteer allocation in large-scale disaster response. At its core is a mixed-integer linear programming (MILP) model that constitutes the optimization layer of a broader AI-assisted humanitarian logistics ecosystem. The model assigns volunteers to disaster management centers while maximizing demand satisfaction, respecting capacity and travel-time constraints, incorporating individual preferences, enforcing group cohesion to improve long-term retention, and preventing scheduling conflicts. Computational experiments using a synthetic scenario with 100 volunteers, six volunteer types, four disaster management centers, and a seven-day response horizon confirm the model’s feasibility: the MILP solver reaches a solution in under 8 seconds and generates schedules that substantially reduce unmet demand. Sensitivity analysis on the preference–demand trade-off reveals important operational dynamics. The chapter concludes with a roadmap for extending the framework with machine learning demand forecasting, reinforcement learning-based dynamic reassignment, digital twin simulation, and predictive retention modeling — positioning the system as a foundation for next-generation AI tools in disaster humanitarian logistics.

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