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#machine learning #data science Preprint Open access

Querying Counterfactuals on Tissue Graphs with Supervised Disentanglement

Abdul Moeed Stefan Schrod Martin Rohbeck Marc Jan Bonder Pavlo Lutsik Oliver Stegle Daniel Dimitrov
Nov 2026
Machine Learning Data Science

Abstract

Tissue graph counterfactuals ask what a cell would express if its spatial neighborhood were altered, a question central to predicting cell behavior in tissues. Existing methods, however, present only specific instances of such queries. In this work, we first formalize tissue graph counterfactuals as a class of spatial interventions that either rewire connections between cells (edge perturbation) or modify the expression of their neighbors (node perturbation). We then introduce Cellina, a framework that uses supervised disentanglement to decompose a cell's intrinsic state from its spatial context, using the latter as a conditioning input for in-silico perturbation predictions. Across benchmarks spanning over 2.5 million spatially-resolved cells in observational and interventional screens, Cellina outperforms both spatially-informed and non-spatial competitors in in-silico perturbations, while training as fast as non-spatial methods. Moreover, we show that Cellina reveals cancer subdomains with distinct signaling programs in an unsupervised manner and enables targeted neighbor perturbation simulations.

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