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Open access Aug 2026

The Relationship Between Crude Oil Prices and Economic Performance in Nigeria: Evidence from Recent Trends (1990 to 2023)

This study examines the impact of crude oil prices on economic growth in Nigeria from 1990 to 2023, employing the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) framework and Granger causality analysis. Unlike previous studies that assume symmetric relationships, this research explicitly tests for structural breaks and incorpor...

Dungrit Peter Gelle, Bernard Iferi Eni, Yitmal Yahaya Mari · 0 citations
Sep 2026

Macro-economic variables analysis in India: an empirical approach using vector autoregressive model

This study investigates the empirical relationship between macro-economic variables such as consumer price index (CPI), gold prices, index of industrial production (IIP), trade balance and crude oil prices – and the direction, magnitude and persistence of their bilateral interactions in the Indian market. Mo...

Sarishma Sharma, Mohit Gupta · 0 citations
Open access Sep 2026

Fiscal Policy Responses to Oil Price Shocks and Economic Growth in African Oil-Producing Countries

This study examined the effects of fiscal policy responses to oil price shocks on economic growth in African oil-producing countries, using Nigeria as the case study. Specifically, the study investigated the effects of government expenditure responses and public debt management on economic growth in Nigeria. An ex post...

Taofeek Ajani Lamidi · 0 citations
Open access Aug 2026

FISCAL POLICY ASYMMETRIES AND ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE IN SELECTED ECOWAS ECONOMIES

This study investigates the asymmetric impacts of government revenue and expenditure on the Economic Performance Index (EPI) in six selected ECOWAS countries. Utilising annual panel data, the study employs a Panel Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag (P-NARDL) model estimated via the Pooled Mean Group (PMG) framewo...

Olamade Olumuyiwa, Ogunbadejo HUSSAIN KEHINDE · 0 citations
Open access Aug 2026

Oil Price Shocks, Monetary Policy Transmission and Exchange Rate Stability in Nigeria

This study investigates the empirical effects of global oil price shocks on core monetary policy transmission channels and exchange rate stability in Nigeria, utilizing selected net oil-importing and net oil-exporting African economies as a comparative baseline. Grounded in the theoretical framework of the Real Busi...

T. Abubakar · 0 citations
Sep 2026

Macroeconomic indicators and the Johannesburg Stock Exchange Financial 15 Index nexus in South Africa

This study explores the macroeconomic indicators and the JSE Financial 15 index in South Africa using quarterly data from 2004Q1 to 2024Q4. A Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) is used to model short- and long-run linkages between the variables of the study, after unit root and structural break tests; Gran...

Keitumetse Mashabela, C. Saba · 0 citations

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