It is shown that TTA can increase confidence and reduce entropy even when the top-1 prediction and its correctness remain unchanged, a failure mode the authors term prediction-preserving sharpening, and proposed Zero-Shot-Anchored Entropy Calibration (ZAEC), a label-free post-hoc method that uses zero-shot entropy as a sample-specific uncertainty reference.
Abstract
Test-time adaptation (TTA) can improve the recognition accuracy of vision-language models under distribution shift, but often degrades calibration, making predictive confidence unreliable for downstream decision-making. Many existing label-free calibration approaches are either coupled to prompt optimization or rely on logit-range statistics that provide only a coarse characterization of the predictive distribution. We show that TTA can increase confidence and reduce entropy even when the top-1 prediction and its correctness remain unchanged, a failure mode we term prediction-preserving sharpening. Across diverse TTA methods and benchmarks, larger entropy reductions relative to paired zero-shot predictions are associated with greater increases in Expected Calibration Error (ECE). On entropy-reduced samples, confidence gains also tend to exceed accuracy gains. Based on these findings, we propose Zero-Shot-Anchored Entropy Calibration (ZAEC), a label-free post-hoc method that uses zero-shot entropy as a sample-specific uncertainty reference. ZAEC selectively restores the zero-shot entropy of sharpened predictions through minimal temperature scaling while leaving all other predictions unchanged. It requires no labeled calibration data or learned parameters and preserves class rankings and classification accuracy. Across five TTA methods and 15 datasets, ZAEC achieves the lowest post-hoc macro-average ECE on ViT-B/16, with consistent gains on RN50.
Quantization is widely used to deploy large language models, but its effect on uncertainty behavior, such as confidence, margins, and abstention, is rarely treated as a primary objective. We frame calibration-data selection for quantization as a target-dependent uncertainty-preservation problem. Different deployments emphasize different regions of the input distribution, yet prior work mainly optimizes accuracy-oriented compression metrics or adjusts scores after quantization. We formalize this goal with distributional and boundary preservation risks, and provide a simple mixture-mismatch argument explaining why no single calibration recipe should be expected to fit all targets. We introduce Doubt-Preserving Quantization (DPQ), a lightweight pre-quantization recipe family that uses full-precision predictions to construct target-aligned calibration mixtures of high-doubt examples and generic anchors. Across 8 language models, 9 NLP benchmarks, and 22 comparison methods, the leading fixed recipe changes with the preservation target: DPQ-r75 leads on SQuAD2 answerability-boundary preservation, while milder or single-signal variants, including DPQ-r50, confidence-only, and entropy-only, better preserve broad multiple-choice QA behavior. These results show that calibration data should be selected for the specific full-precision score behavior a deployment needs to preserve, rather than treated as a fixed quantization detail.
Zhenhong Yang, Sizai Hou, Kaiwen Zheng et al.· 0 citations
This work proposes RITA, a Robust test-tIme prompt-TAdaptation framework that shifts from sample-level estimates to distribution-level alignment, and employs optimal transport to align the distribution of augmented visual features with textual prototypes, mitigating adversarial outliers and rectifying cross-modal semantic misalignment.
Xingyu Zhu, Huanshen Wu, Shuo Wang et al.· 1 citation
This work measures, on identical inputs, how model scale and 4-bit quantization affect two confidence signals in the Qwen2-VL family: the confidence a model states in natural language, and its own mean token probability over the answer it generates, and argues that error-detection AUROC is the metric that exposes the difference between the two signals.
PuRF is introduced, a novel PuRiFication-driven cache-based method for multi-label test-time adaptation of vision-language models that consistently outperforms state-of-the-art methods on ViT-B/32 across five datasets.
Yiwen Liang, Hui Chen, Yizhe Xiong et al.· 0 citations
3D CT vision-language models (VLMs) classify abnormalities from text prompts in a zero-shot manner, enabling cross-institution deployment where labels are scarce and clinical tasks shift faster than supervised models can be retrained. A real CT scan, however, typically contains several co-occurring abnormalities, and the reliability of zero-shot multi-label prediction under distribution shift remains poorly understood. Test-time adaptation (TTA) updates a model on unlabeled target scans without source data or target annotations, yet existing TTA methods target multi-class softmax prediction on natural images or 2D medical segmentation, and none addresses unsupervised multi-label adaptation for zero-shot 3D CT VLMs. We study when TTA helps zero-shot 3D CT VLMs. A controlled diagnostic analysis shows that TTA is conditional: the volumetric input must preserve the encoder's depth structure, and the base representation must transfer to the target cohort, with depth reduction alone lowering internal AUROC by more than 0.12. We then focus on the regime where the base model already separates present from absent abnormalities. We introduce CARVE (Cardinality-Aware Retained-View Entropy), the first TTA method for this setting. CARVE estimates a sample-specific positive-label cardinality $\hat{k}$, optimizes a top-$\hat{k}$ objective to preserve co-occurring abnormalities, and performs memory-efficient multi-view adaptation by scoring weak 3D views without gradients before updating on a retained subset. Across contrastive CT-CLIP and anatomy-aware fVLM, CARVE provides the most consistent improvements across multi-label, three-class, and binary CT tasks when the base model is already discriminative. These results establish multi-label TTA for zero-shot 3D CT VLMs as a distinct problem and CARVE as a cardinality-aware solution.
Ailar Mahdizadeh, Puria Azadi Moghadam, Xiangteng He et al.· 0 citations
Test-time scaling lifts large language model reasoning by sampling many candidate solutions and selecting among them, yet the same recipe transfers poorly to vision-language models (VLMs): recent work shows that simple majority voting beats selection methods built on the model's own self-verification, apparently because at the selection layer an image-grounded answer and a confident guess from the language prior look the same. A natural fix is to make the selection signal one that cannot be computed without the image. We study Perturbation Grounded Selection (Pgs), a label-free, training-free rule that scores each candidate by whether the model re-derives it under label-preserving perturbations of the input (cropping, background masking, mild photometric or geometric jitter); Pgs recovers majority voting when the perturbation set is empty. The decisive question is not whether Pgs beats chain-of-thought only majority voting, but whether the perturbation term adds anything once decoding format and budget are controlled. We therefore introduce a format-matched control (MatchedCtrl): the same short, no-CoT draws spent on the original image. Across TextVQA, MATH-Vision, MMMU, and ViLP, with a Qwen headline (three-seed means) and LLaVA-OneVision coverage in matched-budget selector tables, Pgs appears to beat plain majority voting by up to +31.8 points on TextVQA (Qwen), but MatchedCtrl tracks or exceeds Pgs within noise on every benchmark, including the vision-required ViLP; no Qwen category shows a significant gain over this control. The stability gap is real and image-dependent (up to +0.48), yet does not predict per-instance wins. The result is negative and diagnostic: perturbation consistency is at best a partial diagnostic of visual dependence and, on its own, not a usable selection signal once format is controlled; gains reported against CoT-only majority voting overstate such methods.