GAUGE: Granularity-Adaptive Counterfactual Gating of Evidence for Incomplete Multimodal Classification

Which Modality Decides? Counterfactual Modality Attribution for Multimodal LLMs

Multimodal large language models (MLLMs) increasingly support high-stakes decision making by combining complementary information from images and text. While existing explainability methods identify influential image regions or text tokens, they cannot answer a fundamental question: which modality drives a prediction? Consequently, a model may produce the correct output while relying on the wrong source of evidence, masking shortcut learning and unsafe reasoning. We formulate modality attribution as a complementary explainability objective for multimodal foundation models and propose Counterfactual Modality Attribution (CMA), the first framework for quantifying modality-level contributions in MLLMs. CMA generates image-only, text-only, and joint multimodal counterfactuals using coupled diffusion priors and converts them into principled modality attribution scores through a cooperative game-theoretic formulation based on Shapley values. We evaluate CMA on controlled synthetic benchmarks with known ground-truth modality reliance and on a real-world multimodal clinical dataset. CMA correctly identifies the decision-driving modality in 98% of controlled cases and consistently outperforms baselines, revealing failures of cross-modal reasoning that remain invisible to predictive accuracy alone. Our results establish modality attribution as a complementary dimension of explainability beyond feature attribution, providing a principled framework for auditing multimodal foundation models in safety-critical applications.

Conformal Fusion Under Missing Modalities

Multimodal fusion architectures typically assume all modalities are available at inference, yet sensor failures, acquisition variability, and cost constraints routinely produce incomplete observations. Existing work treats modality absence as a prediction-accuracy problem, leaving a more basic question unanswered: whether a model's confidence estimates remain calibrated when an entire input stream is removed. We argue that missing-modality robustness and calibrated uncertainty are a single coupled property, and introduce Modality-Conditioned Conformal Fusion (MCCF), an architecture that addresses both at once. MCCF combines a multimodal bottleneck fusion backbone trained with modality dropout, per-modality evidential heads producing modality-decomposed Dirichlet distributions, and a Dempster-Shafer combination rule that fuses the per-modality evidence into a joint predictive distribution; an absent modality contributes vacuous evidence that is structurally ignored, so the fused uncertainty automatically reflects the reduced information without test-time imputation. A Mondrian conformal calibration module keyed on the modality-presence mask then provides finite-sample group-conditional coverage for every non-empty modality subset. MCCF is, to our knowledge, the first method with formal coverage guarantees under arbitrary modality availability through architectural integration rather than post-hoc recalibration, and the evidential decomposition yields per-modality vacuity scores that localise uncertainty to the absent modality responsible. Across a synthetic problem and three real multimodal benchmarks, MCCF holds its target coverage on every modality-presence subset, substantially narrows the coverage gap between full and partial modalities relative to a marginal split-conformal baseline, and imposes no measurable accuracy cost relative to temperature-scaled and evidential baselines.

Dominance aware multimodal rumor verification using reliability calibrated multi-expert inference

Modality imbalance undermines multimodal pattern recognition when auxiliary inputs are missing, noisy, or weakly aligned, causing fusion models to collapse toward quasi-unimodal shortcuts and produce unreliable confidence. We propose DOMINO, a dominance-aware framework that mitigates this failure through three mechanisms: (1) a closed-loop dominance controller that regulates auxiliary objectives during training, (2) a missing-safe residual fusion module that enables stable fallback under degraded modalities, and (3) reliability-aware inference via temperature scaling and weighted expert aggregation. Experiments on Weibo and MediaEval2015 demonstrate state-of-the-art performance, achieving 0.9785 macro-F1 on Weibo and 0.9559 macro-F1 on MediaEval2015, while substantially reducing expected calibration error compared with that of strong baselines. These results establish that dominance-aware control and missing-safe fusion are effective principles for robust multimodal recognition under structural modality imbalance.

A Multi-Dimensional Evaluation of Explainability in Media Bias Detection

Rethinking Modality Reliability in Multimodal Sentiment Analysis with Incomplete Observations

Multimodal Sentiment Analysis (MSA) integrates text, audio, and vision to infer human affect, yet real-world multimodal observations are often incomplete. Existing methods for incomplete-observation MSA mainly follow two paradigms. Reconstruction-based methods recover missing information from observed modalities, while joint-representation methods learn directly from incomplete inputs. Although effective, these methods usually treat modality reliability only implicitly within representation learning or fusion design rather than modeling it explicitly. We argue that modality reliability is a central variable in incomplete-observation settings. Failure to model it explicitly gives rise to two related issues. The first is reliability mismatch, in which the affective evidence retained by each modality varies across samples and missing rates. The second is reliability propagation bias, in which messages from degraded modalities may adversely affect cross-modal interaction and predictive performance. To address these issues, we propose MRCF, a Modality Reliability-Calibrated Framework for MSA with incomplete observations. MRCF contains a Reliability-Aware Branch that estimates sample-specific modality reliability from intramodal quality cues and cross-modal semantic consistency, a Reliability-Guided Interaction Branch that uses the estimated scores to modulate cross-modal information flow, and a Reliability-Calibrated Fusion Module that integrates reliability and semantic cues for final prediction. Experiments on CMU-MOSI, CMU-MOSEI, and CH-SIMS show that MRCF achieves strong performance under standard incomplete-observation protocols. Further analyses provide evidence that explicit reliability modeling helps mitigate reliability mismatch and reliability propagation bias during interaction and fusion.

Diagnosing and Mitigating Perception-Decision Misalignment in Omni-LLMs via Modality Subspace Activation

Omni-Large Language Models (Omni-LLMs) power complex multi-modal reasoning in applications like World Action Models and autonomous agents. However, their strong performance often masks a profound Perceptual-Decision Misalignment (PDM), where decisions remain unfaithful to multi-modal perceptions. To diagnose this, we formalize Causal Modality Sensitivity (CMS), operationalized via a dual-lens framework: Answer Retention Rate (ARR) at the macro behavioral level, and Logit Angular Discrepancy (LAD) to track microscopic distribution shifts. We also curate CausalMSBench, a diagnostic dataset isolating language priors. Benchmarking reveals that popular Omni-LLMs exhibit critically low CMS, showing negligible distribution shifts even when key modalities are removed. To rectify this, we propose Modality Subspace Activation (MSA), a training-free inference-time framework that uses Singular Value Decomposition (SVD) to estimate modal activation strengths. MSA dynamically balances modal projections in the last hidden state, effectively restoring CMS across benchmarks.