Skip to content
#machine learning Open access

Information fusion and machine learning for sensitivity analysis using physics knowledge and experimental data

May 2021 · Reliability Engineering & System Safety · Vol 214, pp. 107712 · 45 citations · 54 references
Computer Science Mathematics

TL;DR

This paper considers global sensitivity analysis (GSA) for situations where both a physics-based model and experimental observations are available, and investigates physics-informed machine learning strategies to effectively combine the two sources of information in order to maximize the accuracy of the sensitivity estimate.

Abstract

Abstract When computational models (either physics-based or data-driven) are used for the sensitivity analysis of engineering systems, the sensitivity estimate is affected by the accuracy and uncertainty of the model. This paper considers global sensitivity analysis (GSA) for situations where both a physics-based model and experimental observations are available, and investigates physics-informed machine learning strategies to effectively combine the two sources of information in order to maximize the accuracy of the sensitivity estimate. Two representative machine learning (ML) techniques are considered, namely, deep neural networks (DNN) and Gaussian process (GP) modeling, and two strategies for incorporating physics knowledge within these techniques are investigated, namely: (i) incorporating loss functions in the ML models to enforce physics constraints, and (ii) pre-training and updating the ML model using simulation and experimental data respectively. Four different models are built for each type (DNN and GP), and the uncertainties in these models are included in the Sobol’ indices computation. The DNN-based models, with many degrees of freedom in terms of model parameters and training options, are found to result in smaller bounds on the sensitivity estimates when compared to the GP-based models. The proposed methods are illustrated for additive manufacturing and lake temperature modeling examples.

Read PDF

Similar papers

Aug 2026

Data and physics requirements for reliable physics‐informed neural networks in process modeling

Physics‐informed neural networks (PINNs) have gained increasing attention in chemical process modeling since they can embed first‐principles knowledge into neural network training. However, in practice, the embedded physics is often inaccurate, and experimental data are costly to obtain, raising fundamental questions about the required physics‐model accuracy and data volume required to achieve a target prediction accuracy. This work develops a theoretical framework for analyzing the generalization error of PINNs under model misspecification. We establish both an architecture‐independent error bound and an explicit bound for a specific PINN architecture. The bound is further related to the solution error with respect to the true system, yielding quantitative conditions on admissible model discrepancy, data requirements, and loss‐weight selection. Based on these conditions, two adaptive algorithms are proposed to guide physics‐model refinement and data collection. The theoretical findings are demonstrated using a chemical process network.

Guoquan Wu, Yuyang Jiang, Yao Shi et al. · 0 citations
Review Open access Jul 2026

From Newton to Neural Networks: A Review of Data-Driven Physical Modelling and the Rise of Physics-Informed AI

This review examines the evolution of physical modelling from classical first-principles approaches to contemporary data-driven and physics-informed learning frameworks, with a central focus on Physics-Informed Neural Networks and related hybrid methods that integrate governing laws into learning algorithms to improve prediction, generalization, and physical plausibility.

Eshit Dhiman · 0 citations
Open access Jul 2026

A parameterized learning method based on data-driven and physical constraints for solving the fluid model of low-temperature plasma

Low-temperature plasma (LTP) plays an indispensable role in environmental remediation and energy conversion. Rapid prediction of state parameters in LTP is crucial for enhancing both pollutant degradation efficiency and fuel conversion performance. To address the high computational cost of traditional numerical methods for LTP modeling, this research proposes a coupled physics-driven and data-driven approach incorporating parameterized learning. This approach introduces applied voltage as an input parameter while parameterized learning is adopted for rapid prediction of electrostatic potential and charged particle densities in LTP. Meanwhile, optical sensing technology is employed to high-fidelity measurement of potential for model validation. The results demonstrate that the method effectively captures the distribution features of electrostatic potential and charged particles in LTP. The trained model can generate prediction results within 1 s, achieve an average relative L2 error (RL2E) of 8.72 × 10−3 and mean absolute error of 4.39 V. This study confirms the feasibility of physics-informed approaches in advancing LTP modeling, offering a pathway toward efficient approach for the online condition assessment and multi-parameter optimization design of plasma devices.

Jinhu Xu, Jia-Wei Zhang, Yufei Wang et al. · 0 citations
Preprint Jul 2026

Probabilistic Physics-Aware Machine Learning Predictions of Electric Truck Energy Consumption with Field Data

In this work, we incorporate first principle physics into the construction of data-driven methods by considering a model that accounts for the different sources of energy losses during vehicle operations. Our results show that Bayesian linear regression based on this physics-aware model can improve the reliability of the expected energy consumption, as compared with standard linear regression. Further, it is shown that more complex machine learning models such as neural networks and gradient boosted regression trees, based on the same physical model, can further improve the accuracy in energy forecasting and significantly outperform standard versions of the same machine learning models. In addition to point predictions of the energy consumption, we develop a framework for estimating the corresponding uncertainty in the form of predicted standard deviation. Our results show that all of the models learn to estimate the uncertainty reasonably well.

Hannes Nilsson, R. Basso, Bal'azs Kulcs'ar et al. · 0 citations
Open access Aug 2026

Physics-Informed Impact Identification (Phy-ID): Combining Physics and Data for Structural Health Monitoring of Aerospace Composites

This paper presents the Physics-Informed Impact Identification (Phy-ID) framework. It addresses the challenges of reconstructing impact parameters from passive sensor signals. Phy-ID integrates physical knowledge into machine learning across three complementary levels: how data representation is defined, how the model is built, and how optimisation is guided. Each level is described conceptually and illustrated with documented examples from previous work of the authors and the literature. Examples cover both established strategies and new directions yet to be applied to impact identification. By aligning model design with prior knowledge of composite structures under impact, Phy-ID provides a structured, scalable modelling approach. It targets improved robustness, interpretability, and generalisation in conditions of partial physical knowledge and limited experimental data, which are typical in real-world SHM.

Natália Ribeiro Marinho, R. Loendersloot, F. Grooteman et al. · 0 citations

Related blog posts

MIT News · Artificial Intelligence Aug 27, 2026

Looking beyond natural sequences

A new machine-learning framework aims to improve the success rate of computational protein design while moving away from results that reproduce sequences found in nature.