Real-Time State-of-Health Estimation and Online Degradation Prognosis from Partial Battery Discharge Using Physics-Informed Neural Networks

Abstract

With the increasing integration of renewable energy sources, energy storage systems have become essential, making the accurate estimation of their State of Health (SOH) and degradation behavior critical. In this work, we propose a physics-informed deep learning approach for lithium-ion battery SOH prediction using incomplete discharge curves extracted from arbitrary voltage ranges, thereby reflecting realistic and heterogeneous operating conditions. The proposed method combines data-driven learning with physically motivated degradation dynamics to ensure consistent and reliable SOH estimation from partial discharge information, achieving a MAPE below 4$\%$. In addition, a real-time degradation trend estimation strategy is introduced to detect key aging transitions without requiring prior knowledge or historical data, making it applicable to a wide range of batteries. Overall, our approach enables SOH estimation from arbitrary discharge segments and a real-time degradation forecast that continuously integrates all usage, overcoming previous methods that rely on fixed protocols or early, non-adaptive predictions.