It is proved that the LLM paired with the BSE is a sound Markov policy on the belief MDP induced by the underlying POMDP, and inherits the Bellman optimality guarantees of classical POMDP theory, provided the LLM is never exposed to the raw history.
Abstract
Large language model agents produce fluent action sequences across a wide range of tasks, yet they fail in characteristic ways once the environment becomes partially observable. Ambiguous feedback pushes them into premature commitments. A single informative observation can collapse their uncertainty onto the wrong hypothesis. Policies drift as the history grows. We trace these symptoms to a common structural cause. An LLM agent, as commonly deployed, is a history-conditioned policy with no explicit belief over hidden state. We propose an architectural fix. The Belief-State Engine (BSE) is an inference module placed outside the LLM. It maintains a Bayesian posterior over the latent states of a given POMDP (Partially Observable Markov Decision Process) model, and at each decision step it exposes only that posterior to the LLM. The raw action-observation log is not shown. We set out a minimal four-axiom specification of what a belief-consistent internal state must satisfy, and prove that the LLM paired with the BSE is a sound Markov policy on the belief MDP induced by the underlying POMDP. It therefore inherits the Bellman optimality guarantees of classical POMDP theory, provided the LLM is never exposed to the raw history. We evaluate the architecture on the Tiger POMDP and a red-team attack-graph task, against six baselines: a reactive LLM, Chain-of-Thought, ReAct, a natural-language belief tracker, QMDP, and POMCP. Across both domains, the BSE-augmented agent improves task return, belief calibration, and decision consistency. Ten targeted ablations isolate the contribution of each architectural choice confirms that the effect is not specific to any one model. Code, environment specifications, prompt templates, and seed logs accompany this paper.
The results show that giving LLM agents access to world model beliefs improves task performance under partial observability, while remaining complementary to existing simulation-based world models.
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Speculative Uncertainty (SU), a method that recovers a predictive failure signal for a black-box agent from its output tokens alone, with no access to logits, weights, activations, or repeated sampling, is presented.
Large language model (LLM) agents can now undertake increasingly complex tasks, but the way they organize interaction history into memory does not ensure a coherent understanding of the current world. We introduce PoS, an inference-time framework that constructs and continually maintains explicit belief states as the a...
Yu Luo, Jia-Min Jiang, Yi-Min Zuo et al.· 1 citation
A novel and scalable framework that rewrites a coding agent's context as the repository changes rather than as the context grows, and can achieve a higher resolve rate in all experiments spanned by six coding agents and three edit-heavy benchmarks with little computational overhead.
Zi-Yang Yu, Liang Zhao, Bo-Wen Zhu et al.· 0 citations
This framework organizes existing methods around five components: explicit state representation, transition structuring, validation and constraint enforcement, search and rollback, and uncertainty management, and yields a diagnostic hypothesis: interventions should be most effective when they target the error or uncert...
Jia-Zhang Cai, Tao Wang, Rui-Dong Zhang et al.· 0 citations
The contribution is not a new fixed-point calculus, but a characterization of when proposal--history correlation at the model--tool boundary is necessary for certification, separating indefinite operational viability from finite worst-case verified progress.
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