Construction of molecular signatures based on the co-expression network of NECSO-related gene TRPM4 and its prognostic value in hepatocellular carcinoma
TL;DR
The TRPM4-centered 11-gene signature provides robust and independent prognostic stratification in HCC by integrating immune, mutational, and single-cell features and serves as a potential tool for prognostic evaluation.
Abstract
Background Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) demonstrates significant prognostic variability that is not entirely accounted for by traditional staging systems. Necrosis by sodium overload (NECSO) is an emerging programmed cell death pathway, but its clinical relevance in HCC remains undefined. Therefore, this study aimed to identify TRPM4-associated core genes, develop and validate a prognostic signature, and investigate its relationship with the tumor immune microenvironment, tumor mutational burden, and single-cell expression patterns in HCC. Methods We integrated transcriptomic, clinical, and mutational datasets from The Cancer Genome Atlas-Liver Hepatocellular Carcinoma (TCGA-LIHC) (n=421) and Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) cohorts (n=115) to identify genes co-expressed with TRPM4—a key NECSO mediator—and those differentially expressed in HCC. A prognostic signature was developed using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO)-Cox regression and validated through survival analysis, time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, and multivariate Cox regression analysis. The immune landscape was characterized using CIBERSORT, somatic mutation data were used to calculate tumor mutational burden (TMB) and assess its correlation with the risk score, and single-cell RNA sequencing (scRNA-seq) resolved cell-type-specific expression patterns. Results From 294 TRPM4-associated core genes, we identified an 11-gene signature (BRSK1, MMP1, GRIN2D, GP6, MYOM2, N4BP3, CCDC112, TSEN54, MAP3K9, SPP1, B3GNT4) that independently predicted overall survival (OS) (hazard ratio =5.419, P<0.001) with areas under the curve (AUCs) of 0.779, 0.693, and 0.701 at 1, 3, and 5 years. These values were superior or comparable to conventional clinicopathologic variables after direct comparison. High-risk patients exhibited an immunosuppressive microenvironment, characterized by enrichment of M0 macrophage, a higher M2/M1 ratio (P<0.001) and distinct immune checkpoint profiles. When integrated with TMB, the prognostic stratification was further refined: high-TMB/high-risk patients had poorest outcomes (median OS, 15.3 months), while low-TMB/low-risk patients had the most favorable survival (median OS, 68.7 months). Single-cell analysis revealed that MMP1 was induced in cancer-associated fibroblasts (CAFs) and SPP1 was downregulated in macrophages, single-cell risk scores confirmed TAFs and macrophages as the main contributors to the prognostic model. Conclusions The TRPM4-centered 11-gene signature provides robust and independent prognostic stratification in HCC by integrating immune, mutational, and single-cell features. This signature serves as a potential tool for prognostic evaluation and may help inform immunotherapeutic strategies for HCC.