Preprint
Jul 2026
MafiaScope: Non-Invasive, Time-Resolved Belief Probing for LLM Agents in Social Deduction Games
MafiaScope, an open testbed that turns the social deduction game Mafia into a measurement instrument for machine Theory of Mind, is presented, finding that stated confidence is poorly calibrated, agents overestimate how often they are suspected by a factor of 1.5, and single-vote counterfactual replays rarely change game outcomes.
Ilia Karpov
· 1 citation