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#machine learning Preprint Sep 2026

Counterfactual Online Conformal Prediction Under Adaptive Logging

Experiments on synthetic decision tasks, open bandit data, and financial rebalancing show that PW-OCP and DR-OCP improve counterfactual coverage and downstream regret without sacrificing prediction-set sharpness.

Xin-Yu Qiao, Yi-Chen Lin, Kai-Hong Ji et al. · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Sep 2026

From Weak Data to Strong Policy: Q-Targets Enable Provable In-Context Reinforcement Learning

Q-Target Pretrained Transformers is proposed, which keeps the context-conditioned Transformer architecture but replaces behavior cloning with a Bellman-style Q-target objective, and learns to use rewards and transitions in the context to estimate action values, rather than simply imitating the behavior policy.

Yi-Chen Lin, Xu-Yuan Xiong, Xue Wang et al. · 0 citations

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