Deciding whether two samples come from the same distribution is a classical problem in statistics, and generative transport offers a new way to approach it. We build a stochastic interpolant directly between the two samples and observe that, for a symmetric schedule, its law is invariant under the time reflection $t \m...
Machine learning classifiers for remote sensing imagery are typically evaluated as though every pixel were an independent sample. Spatial autocorrelation violates this assumption, since neighboring pixels carry redundant information which inflates sample sizes. How many independent samples does a satellite image actual...
For a given data distribution $(X_t)_{t \in \mathbb{N}} \sim Q$ i.i.d., we investigate the hypothesis testing problem: $H_0: Q = P_0$ vs. $H_1: Q = P_1$, for two different model probability distributions $P_0$ and $P_1$. In contrast to the standard setting, where analytic densities $p_0$ and $p_1$ are given, here, we c...
Concept drift threatens production machine learning, yet the empirical behavior of multivariate two-sample drift detectors at scale remains under-characterized. Existing benchmarks rarely address the hundreds of millions of rows and high-cardinality features typical of industrial-operational datasets. We evaluate five...
Cagdas Pullu, Mahmut Emir Arslan, Bugra Balkac et al.· 0 citations
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Standard causal identification methods often assume no unmeasured confounding and can fail when relevant confounders are unobserved. Proximal causal inference instead uses proxy variables to identify effects under hidden confounding. However, nonparametric proximal estimation can be challenging in practice: recovering...
Christoph Müller, Ayub Kharel, Alex Luedtke et al.· 0 citations
How far can stochastic gradient descent ascent (SGDA) go by tuning its timescale ratio and step sizes in nonconvex min-max games? We answer this question for nonconvex-P{\L} (NC-P{\L}) games by establishing the first tight complexity of two-timescale SGDA with a fixed timescale ratio and non-increasing step sizes. For...
Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used as judges for automated AI evaluation. A common practice is to randomize prompt sequences and average the resulting scores, but its statistical validity remains unclear. We show that LLM evaluation mechanisms can be approximated by a class of Markov generalized linear...
We study the online calibration of multidimensional forecasts over an arbitrary convex set $Y\subseteq\mathbb{R}^d$ relative to an arbitrary error norm $\|\cdot\|_{L}$. For forecasting $d$ binary outcomes simultaneously ($Y=[0,1]^d$), we give the first algorithm that achieves $\varepsilon$-calibration in a number of ro...
We study fair multi-armed bandits under the Nash Social Welfare (NSW) objective, which measures performance via the geometric mean of accumulated rewards. Existing work defines Nash regret as $\mathrm{NR}_T = \mu^\star - (\prod_{t=1}^T \mathbb{E}\mu_{I_t})^{1/T}$, where $\mu_{I_t}$ is the mean reward of the recommended...
We study ridge regression from exactly $s$ distinct rows of a fixed design. Responses are fixed, and only the subset is random. The determinant law and selected ridge fit share one positive definite penalty. Established mean identities and exponential-family duality give the unique penalty that matches a prescribed ful...
Transformers have exhibited impressive empirical success across various domains, but their theoretical foundations remain less developed. This work constitutes a mathematical study of the measure-to-measure operators defined by transformers. We show that transformers map sub-Gaussian inputs to sub-Gaussian outputs; thi...
These upper and lower bounds show that uniform discrete diffusion successfully avoids the curse of dimensionality for distributions with small effective support size: the TV error rate depends on the ambient state-space size only through $s_n(P_0)$, while the corresponding KL rate incurs only an additional logarithmic...
A machine-learning approach called CheMeleon provides a practical way to develop new drugs or other molecules with much less detailed, expensive experimentation.
Is your company’s AI sovereign? A practical guide for CIOs on AI vendor lock-in, EU Data Act switching, cloud sovereignty, and testing your exit plan before you need it. The post Sovereignty Is the Option to Leave appeared first on GPT-Lab.
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