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Vision-AI-driven dilemma zone modelling for driver behaviour prediction

Sep 2026 · European Transport Research Review · Vol 18 · 0 citations · 76 references

TL;DR

A scalable Vision-AI and deep learning framework modelling driver decisions based on vehicle type, speed, acceleration, lane occupation, and signal distance is presented, showcasing the model’s robustness and potential to improve intersection safety and inform intelligent traffic management.

Abstract

Driver behaviour in the dilemma zone critically influences red-light violations and intersection safety. This study presents a scalable Vision-AI and deep learning framework modelling driver decisions based on vehicle type, speed, acceleration, lane occupation, and signal distance. Validated at a signalised intersection in Thessaloniki, Greece, UAV-collected data yielded over 11,000 vehicle trajectories annotated with stop/go decisions during the yellow phase. A multi-layer perceptron classifier trained on this data reached 92.33% test accuracy and 91.76% F1-score. An ablation study analysed feature impacts, showcasing the model’s robustness and potential to improve intersection safety and inform intelligent traffic management.

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