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DNC-IMM: Early Lane-Change Intention Recognition via Neural Calibration Based on Driving Context Information

Aug 2026 · The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems · 0 citations · 23 references
Computer Science

TL;DR

A Dual Neural-Calibrated Interacting Multiple Model (DNC-IMM) that improves adaptability to driving context while preserving the probabilistic structure and interpretability of a conventional IMM is proposed.

Abstract

Early recognition of lane-change intention is essential for proactive decision-making in autonomous driving and advanced driver assistance systems. This paper proposes a Dual Neural-Calibrated Interacting Multiple Model (DNC-IMM) that improves adaptability to driving context while preserving the probabilistic structure and interpretability of a conventional IMM. The proposed method encodes driving-context information, including target-vehicle motion, gaps to surrounding vehicles, and relative velocities, with a neural network that calibrates both the transition-probability matrix and measurement likelihoods. The final intention is determined from the calibrated IMM mode posterior rather than from a separate direct classifier. Experiments on the highD dataset demonstrate that the proposed method reliably recognizes lane-change intentions before lane crossing and provides particularly strong performance at the earlier 2-3 s prediction horizons.

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