The bounds separate uncertainty about hard feasibility from learnable signed budgets, and the hard-violation construction matches arbitrarily many moments while preserving a feasible-endpoint gap and constant endpoint probabilities.
Abstract
We study constrained online convex optimization with adversarial constraints and conditionally unbiased, finite-variance observations of constraint values and gradients. Under common feasibility, our \LEDGER\ algorithm attains $O(\sqrt T)$ expected regret and $O(\sqrt{T\log(eT)})$ expected budget violation, the largest cumulative overspend over any window. It uses a reflected exponential potential, clipped signed observations, and predictable adaptive regularization, with one feedback triple and one projection per round. Neither a Slater condition, independence between feedback channels, nor an absolute constraint-value bound is needed. A Gaussian testing lower bound proves that the budget rate has optimal horizon dependence under square-root regret at fixed positive noise, including the logarithm. The same obstruction holds for terminal violation, so the logarithm is not a cost of maximizing over windows; an $O(\sqrt T)$ budget bound instead forces linear regret. In contrast, fixed positive Gaussian value noise yields a joint regret--hard-violation lower bound of $\Omega(\min\{\sigma,1\}T/\log^2 T)$, even with exact gradients in one dimension. The hard-violation construction matches arbitrarily many moments while preserving a feasible-endpoint gap and constant endpoint probabilities. Together, the bounds separate uncertainty about hard feasibility from learnable signed budgets. Deterministic restarts remove the horizon input without changing either upper rate.
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