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3,686 papers

#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

The Surrogate Is Not the Reward: Post-Surrogate Primary-Outcome Acquisition in Contextual Bandits

We study contextual bandits in which a surrogate is observed after the action but before the learner decides whether to acquire the primary outcome that defines action value and regret. The value of acquiring the primary outcome depends on both decision relevance (how much the current outcome matters for comparing poli...

Kyungbok Lee, Michael R. Kosorok · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Oct 2026

SOL: Measuring Gaps between Text Distributions by Double Sliced Wasserstein Metrics

Evaluating text generation requires measuring how well the generated distribution matches the data distribution. For autoregressive models, this is done by the perplexity. Diffusion and flow-based language models can only provide a likelihood bound, whose tightness differs between model families. Sample-based substitut...

Gregor Kornhardt, Moritz Piening, J. Chemseddine et al. · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

KESurv: A Kernel Ensemble Method for Patient-Specific Survival Prediction

Predicting patient-specific survival functions is crucial for clinicians in making informed decisions about patient care and treatment strategies. Among the various models available, the Survival Forest has demonstrated significant effectiveness in numerous scenarios. In this work, we propose an ensemble method that le...

Rahul Goswami · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Oct 2026

Latent Similarity Gaussian Processes: A Theory-Grounded Approach to Personalized Suicide-Risk Forecasting for Clinical Decision-Support

Forecasting suicide risk is difficult due to the high heterogeneity of patients and the low base rate of suicide-related events (SREs). We present Latent Similarity Gaussian Processes (LSGPs), which embed patients in a continuous latent space to jointly model similarity and forecast risk. By selectively drawing informa...

Yaniv Yacoby, Wei-Wei Pan, Hope Neveux et al. · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Oct 2026

Watermarking: from Impossibility to Auditable Compliance

Article 50 (2) of the EU Artificial Intelligence Act requires providers of generative systems to make synthetic outputs machine-readable and detectable, while qualifying the effectiveness, interoperability, robustness, and reliability by technical feasibility, cost, content-specific limits, and the state of the art. Fo...

Fernando Delbianco, Fernando Tohmé, H. Acciarri · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Oct 2026

Finite-Sample Distribution Theory and Efficient Large-Scale Inference for Online Quantile Regression

This paper studies online quantile regression for large-scale and streaming data using Stochastic SubGradient Descent (SSGD) with constant learning rates. Classical offline inference for quantile regression is computationally and memory intensive. Existing works of online inference for quantile regression provide only...

Zi-Yang Wei, Jia-Qi Li, Lan Wang et al. · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Oct 2026

Isotropic Gaussian Processes Improve Vanilla Bayesian Optimization in High Dimensions

High-dimensional Bayesian optimization (BO) often fits Gaussian process (GP) surrogates from far fewer observations than input dimensions. Modern Vanilla BO can perform well in this regime with dimension-aware priors, initialization, and acquisition optimization, but it typically retains automatic relevance determinati...

Wei-Ting Tang, Madhav R. Muthyala, Joel A. Paulson · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

Retrieval-Based In-Context Learning: A Domain Adaptation Framework

In-context retrieval (ICR) is a retrieval-based form of in-context learning (ICL) in which demonstrations are retrieved from a source database based on similarity to the query, rather than sampled independently. In this work, we formulate ICR as a type of domain adaptation problem, where the source distribution $P$ of...

Yilun Zhu, Naihao Deng, Yingcong Li et al. · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Oct 2026

Gaussian Limits for SGD Without Stationary Moments

This general theory establishes pathwise contraction from a finite second design moment, then uses score cancellation and localization to obtain stationary Gaussian and Ornstein--Uhlenbeck limits, and results establish precise probability-law approximation beyond moment-based stationary analysis.

Xiao-Lin Li, Wei-Biao Wu · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Oct 2026

Moment-Accurate Gaussian Mixtures for Constant-Step Stochastic Approximation

Local Gaussian models of constant-step learning predict output variability and expected losses, but weak convergence alone does not justify these moment predictions. We establish moment-accurate Gaussian mixtures by matching stationary energy with local Ornstein--Uhlenbeck limits, ruling out quadratic tail mass invisib...

Xiao-Lin Li, Wei-Biao Wu · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Oct 2026

Taylor Representations for Model-Free RL in Networked MDPs

A scalable model-free actor--critic algorithm is proposed, establishing finite-sample critic and near-stationarity guarantees for a linear LSTD critic and a more expressive neural TD parameterization is introduced.

Salah Chikhi, A. Chaoui, A. Ozdaglar et al. · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

A Statistical Inference Framework for PMI Estimation and SGNS Word Embeddings

Pointwise Mutual Information (PMI) is a core measure of testing word association, and Skip-gram with Negative Sampling (SGNS) is essentially a method that implicitly factorizes a shifted PMI matrix. However, a systematic and well-rounded characterization of finite-sample uncertainty in PMI estimation remains absent and...

Zhongqi Fan · 0 citations

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GPT-Lab Nov 3, 2026

Sovereignty Is the Option to Leave

Is your company’s AI sovereign? A practical guide for CIOs on AI vendor lock-in, EU Data Act switching, cloud sovereignty, and testing your exit plan before you need it. The post Sovereignty Is the Option to Leave appeared first on GPT-Lab.

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