We determine the sharp restricted isometry threshold for recovery at global minima of the rank-restricted matrix LASSO. For target rank $r_{\star}$, if the rank-$k$ RIP constant satisfies $\delta<\delta_{\mathrm{sharp}}(k/r_{\star})$, where $\delta_{\mathrm{sharp}}(t)=t/(4-t)$ for $0<t<4/3$ and $\delta_{\mathrm{sharp}}(t)=\sqrt{(t-1)/t}$ for $t\ge4/3$, then every global minimizer has Frobenius error $\lesssim\sqrt{r_{\star}}\lambda$ for all $\lambda\gtrsim\|\mathcal{A}^{*}(\xi)\|_{\mathrm{op}}$ and at every search rank $r\ge r_{\star}$. The constants depend only on the RIP constant and $t=k/r_{\star}$, and in particular are independent of the search rank. When the rank restriction is inactive, the result specializes to the ordinary convex matrix LASSO. We also obtain the analogous results for sparsity-restricted vector LASSO. Conversely, we show that the threshold $\delta<\delta_{\mathrm{sharp}}(k/r_{\star})$ cannot be improved, due to the existence of counterexamples whose global minimizers fail to recover the ground truth.
Causal representation learning (CRL) aims to recover latent causal variables and their structural relations from high-dimensional observations. Existing CRL methods typically assume that all environments are defined over the same latent variables, or at least share a common latent representation space. We study a fragmented multi-client setting, where multiple clients interact with the same global latent causal system but each client only accesses and intervenes on a subset of the latent variables. In this regime, marginalizing unused latent variables induces bidirected edges, so a single client no longer admits a node-wise latent causal graph, and the global latent causal order must be recovered by assembling client-specific structural fragments. We propose \textbf{Jigsaw-CRL}, a framework for recovering global latent causal order from such fragmented interventions. Under soft interventions, differences between precision matrices across environments exhibit a low-rank structure governed by latent ancestor relations. This enables recovery, for each client, of a block partition, the corresponding block-level ancestral order, and latent subspaces, and then assembly of these fragments into the global node-level latent causal order. We establish identifiability guarantees, develop practical algorithms, and validate the framework on synthetic data. Our codes are available on https://anonymous.4open.science/r/code-for-Jigsaw-CRL-7B26
We study a class of product-reference diffusion algorithms for sampling from a discrete distribution. We show that their sampling performance can be characterized using a path-based measure of data geometry that we call the interaction growth complexity (IGC). We show that a bivariate IGC kernel gives an exact representation of both the KL discretization error and a simple one-step upper bound. The simpler univariate IGC density can be used to study the effect of stepsize choices on the iteration complexity required to obtain $\epsilon$-accurate samples in KL divergence. Samplers that traverse the path with equi-spaced steps in log-squared-reliability-odds have performance that depends on the aggregate IGC mass, whereas refined choices of stepsizes have a lower complexity depending on a square-root functional. In the fine-grid limit, both of these characterizations become sharp. We also allow general product reference distributions and show that the reference law can substantially reshape the IGC profile and the resulting sampling complexity; in particular, references far from both the uniform and the data marginals can yield dimension-dependent improvements. Finally, the aggregate IGC mass admits bounds in terms of total correlation and dual total correlation, thereby connecting the pathwise geometry to classical measures of multivariate dependence.
Representation learning begins when training changes the features that define similarity between data. A frozen-kernel model only reweights a fixed geometry. We establish quantum signal processing (QSP) as a solvable quantum model of the representation-learning regime. At arbitrary depth, we compute the exact mean and variance of its quantum neural tangent kernel, revealing an input-dependent angular geometry whose diagonal remains non-self-averaging even when the underlying unitary approaches Haar randomness. We also prove a sparse-data guarantee for the full nonlinear gradient flow without freezing or ensemble-averaging the kernel: the realized dynamics converges to an integrable scalar flow with a time-dependent kernel closure and explicit convergence times. A finite-depth speed limit holds for every data set and trajectory. At higher data density, numerical results show coupled evolution beyond both the scalar and frozen-kernel descriptions. These results give a controlled theory of learned quantum data geometry with provable training dynamics beyond the frozen limit.
Jun-Qin Wang, Jun-Yu Liu· 0 citations
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We establish quantitative convergence to the target and uniform-in-time propagation of chaos for Langevin-regularized Stein variational gradient descent. The Stein interaction need not be small relative to the confining Langevin drift and does not generally yield a contractive particle coupling. At the mean-field level, the Stein and Langevin components dissipate the same relative entropy in the kernel-induced Stein and $2$-Wasserstein geometries, producing the squared kernel Stein discrepancy and relative Fisher information. Under a log-Sobolev inequality for the target, this yields exponential last-iterate convergence. We also derive a finite-particle entropy identity relative to the product target, giving exponential-in-time convergence of the empirical measure up to polynomial sampling errors.
For propagation of chaos, we develop two complementary finite-time approaches. A synchronous coupling, combined with exponential moment estimates for the nonlinear mean-field diffusion, yields explicit single-exponential bounds in Wasserstein distance and kernel Stein discrepancy (KSD). Moving-product entropy gives joint-law relative entropy control relative to the evolving mean-field product law and, through entropy superadditivity and concentration, fixed-marginal relative entropy and total variation bounds and empirical KSD estimates. Under an additional $T_2$ inequality for the initial law, it also yields Wasserstein bounds. Combining these finite-time estimates with target convergence at a logarithmic cutoff time gives polynomial uniform-in-time propagation of chaos rates in expectation for empirical KSD and $W_2^2$, and for fixed-marginal total variation and $W_2^2$. All bounds control the last iterate in physical time. We also compare the two finite-time mechanisms and identify regimes in which each gives the sharper polynomial exponent.
Many parameter-efficient methods generate the parameters of a large neural network from a low-dimensional latent representation. Given an architecture $\Phi$ with $P_\Phi$ parameter slots, we write $\boldsymbol{\theta}_f=\mathcal{G}(\boldsymbol{\xi}_f)$, where $\mathcal{G}\colon\mathbb{R}^M\to\mathbb{R}^{P_\Phi}$ is a parameter generator and $\boldsymbol{\xi}_f\in\mathbb{R}^M$ is a latent representation of the target function $f$. The architecture $\Phi$ and the generator $\mathcal{G}$ are shared across the entire target class, while each target $f$ is represented by its own latent vector $\boldsymbol{\xi}_f$, with $\Phi_{\mathcal{G}(\boldsymbol{\xi}_f)}$ approximating $f$. This framework encompasses hypernetworks, low-dimensional parameterizations, parameter-efficient adaptation, and model compression. Understanding the tradeoff between the latent dimension $M$ and the network budget $P$ is therefore fundamental to characterizing the expressive efficiency of these methods. We study this tradeoff for affine generators and fully connected ReLU architectures. More precisely, optimizing jointly over architectures $\Phi$ satisfying $P_\Phi\leq P$ and affine generators $\mathcal{G}:\mathbb{R}^M\to \mathbb{R}^{P_\Phi}$, we prove that the optimal worst-case uniform approximation error over the unit ball of $\alpha$-H\"older functions on $[0,1]^d$, where $0<\alpha\leq1$, has the sharp order $ \bigl(P\min\{M,P\}\bigr)^{-\alpha/d}. $ In particular, our result shows that even a fixed-dimensional latent space suffices to achieve vanishing approximation error as the network budget increases.
Agent evaluations often use one benchmark to choose a workflow and then search for task types where its advantage weakens, so both conclusions are selected from the same data. We introduce Selection-Aware Semantic Stress Testing (\SASST{}), which learns a task reweighting from pre-execution features on discovery tasks and evaluates the same paired comparison on separate confirmation tasks. The protocol checks support and stability, uses joint bounds for all planned claims, and can return no claim. We prove conditional asymptotic validity under stated cluster assumptions. A forty-cluster audit finds Gaussian undercoverage and conservative Bonferroni $t$ bounds. In one 480-episode $\tau$-bench study, a $3.75$ point discovery gain vanished on confirmation. A second-model study likewise confirmed neither a workflow benefit nor a stable stress rule.
Yang Xu, Chenang Li, Jiefu Zhang et al.· 0 citations
Machine learning systems are increasingly corrected while they run, and the decision of when to intervene is increasingly delegated to statistical monitors. Anytime-valid inference promises evidence that can be acted on at any moment, exactly the guarantee this setting needs, and it is moving from theory into deployed monitoring. Conformal test martingales are the change-detection instrument, and Ville's inequality caps their false-alarm probability on exchangeable data. The guarantee is conditional. A deployment inherits it only if the stream it monitors behaves exchangeably. The premise is hardest to satisfy where these monitors are most useful, on dependent data and inside loops where the monitor modifies the learner whose scores it reads. It is also rarely measured. We measure it in a pre-specified case study, where such a monitor gates the online updates of a Kalman adapter correcting frozen time-series foundation models on five forecasting streams. On exchangeable synthetic streams, the same implementation fires in at most 1 of 60 runs. On the real streams, at alpha = 0.05, 135 of 135 clean-stream runs fired. The construction does not explain the firing; the failure comes from the deployed score stream itself. Repeated fires hold the gate's drift response active, and the gated filter amplifies the very transient it was designed to prevent. The component worth keeping makes no validity claim. Huber-style gating of the filter's own updates cuts isolated-spike degradation by an order of magnitude with no dataset specific tuning. Anytime-valid methods proposed for dependent data should therefore be accompanied by null-calibration controls and mechanism traces.
Recent offline reinforcement learning (RL) studies report policies that outperform physician decisions on clinical outcomes. We conduct a systematic, partially crossed evaluation of five offline RL algorithm families and 14 reward designs in 44,894 post-2018 acute ischemic stroke patients from a nationwide registry (N = 129,033).
Standard Fitted Q-Evaluation (FQE) yields an apparent policy-improvement estimate of +0.0069; adding an Early Neurological Deterioration penalty increases it to +0.0101. We identify reward-embedded confounding, in which a proxy terminal reward encodes baseline severity and prognosis as well as treatment efficacy. A 2 x 2 factorial analysis finds that terminal reward confounding accounts for 218.6% of the observed signal change, so its removal overshoots the null.
After DML-inspired GBM reward residualization, the FQE estimate attenuates to +0.0033 (p = 0.132), and full deconfounding yields +0.0025 (p = 0.291). FQE-based diagnostics, T-learner analyses, and direct recurrence analyses converge away from a clinically meaningful aggregate improvement. A 1-year mRS factorial analysis replicates the attenuation. We provide an empirically motivated six-step evaluation checklist. NIHSS-stratified heterogeneity is hypothesis-generating for prospective trial design; hospital-level disagreement does not persist after full reward deconfounding.
Classical numerical solvers for partial differential equations (PDEs) are computationally expensive to solve repeatedly across varying initial conditions, motivating the need for learned surrogates. In this paper, we propose a trainable Neural Cellular Automata (NCA) based surrogate model for learning long time PDE dynamics. Rather than mapping an entire initial field to a full trajectory in one shot, our proposed model learns a small, local, homogeneous update rule that is applied identically and repeatedly at every grid cell, mirroring the locality of differential operators. We benchmark this framework against three baselines: PDE - Net, a modified physics-informed neural network (PINN), and a Fourier Neural Operator (FNO), on five canonical PDEs (heat, advection, Burgers, Allen - Cahn, and Fisher - KPP), evaluated at temporal domain two times beyond the training temporal domain. The proposed model achieves the lowest long-horizon relative errors on the majority of the experiments.
A company with a fixed artificial intelligence (AI) budget must decide which large language model (LLM) handles each recurring workload. What it lacks is the quality table, how well each model performs on each workload. Given that table, the decision is a multiple-choice knapsack problem and is routine to solve, so estimating it is the difficulty, and that estimation fails in two ways. Models are rarely compared on the same work, and the recorded score is usually a proxy rather than the outcome the company values. Causal and off-policy methods repair the first but condition on the second, while evaluator-validation methods estimate the second but stop short of the decision. Worse, buying more re-evaluation cannot settle the second: randomization governs which requests are scored, not how a score is produced, so the table stays uncertain however much evaluation is purchased. Yet the deployment decision may still be determined even when the table is not. We therefore ask whether one assignment stays optimal across every quality table consistent with the evidence. For the fixed-budget problem, this admits an exact two-solve certificate: solve once at the estimated table and once at a least-favourable table. Agreement certifies the assignment; disagreement identifies the model-workload pairs where further evidence can matter. We propose CASE (causal active sequential experimentation), which targets evaluation to those pairs and repeats the test as evidence accumulates. On a production log, the measurement failure is the larger of the two: correcting assignment exactly still leaves most of the loss, and randomized re-evaluation does not remove it. In our experiments, the available evidence often does not determine the assignment. On paid software tasks, better information about model quality yields more savings than further optimization of the assignment on the same estimates.
Physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) often face ill-conditioned objectives that limit high-accuracy training. Dense quasi-Newton methods improve local conditioning but require expensive optimizer state, while Kronecker-factored methods such as SOAP scale to larger networks but rely on periodic basis updates. We introduce \method, which augments SOAP-style preconditioning with a scalar secant-energy correction adapted to Kronecker geometry and an adaptive basis update followed by variance-state downscaling. We characterize the directional secant matching induced by the scalar correction and give a bound on variance-state mismatch across basis changes. Across eight PDE benchmarks, \method attains the lowest final residual on six, including Burgers and Boussinesq, while SOAP-family baselines perform better on Gray-Scott and Ginzburg-Landau. On Boussinesq, \method reaches a residual of $10^{-5}$ in 4.1 hours with 9.2 GB peak VRAM, while Adam does not reach this target within 14 hours. Three-seed $L^2$ and $H^1$ errors on four representative PDEs support the link between lower residuals and improved solution accuracy. These results position \method as a scalable option for stiff, high-accuracy physics-informed training, rather than a uniform replacement for existing optimizers.
Guangyuan Wang, Mads Toftrup, Sebastian Loeschcke et al.· 0 citations