Empirically, EPIG reduces gradient MSE in cloned-state control, winning in all nine dense continuous-control environments of a 13-environment sweep and recovering the reference gradient direction near-perfectly, and it improves frozen-LLM gradient calibration relative to entropy branching.
Abstract
Reward-based reinforcement learning for language models, exemplified by Group Relative Policy Optimization (GRPO), collapses an entire stochastic trajectory into a single scalar reward. This is clean and scalable, but it explores and allocates reward inefficiently: a trajectory may contain many causal decisions, recovery attempts, and environment-randomness events, yet every token or action inherits one trajectory-level advantage. We study tree-based rollout construction as a compute-allocation problem for policy-gradient estimation. Our central claim is that branches should be placed not where the policy is merely uncertain, but where an additional branch most reduces uncertainty about the policy gradient per unit of compute. From a law-of-total-variance decomposition of the local policy-gradient random variable, we derive two allocation laws: new branches reduce decision uncertainty, while repeated suffix rollouts reduce continuation uncertainty. The resulting EPIG-Tree score allocates branches using the already computed rollouts. It estimates occupancy- and score-weighted value uncertainty, along with a suffix law $n_e \propto w_e \|\nabla_\theta \log \pi(a_e|h_e)\| \sigma_e / \sqrt{c_e}$. Empirically, EPIG reduces gradient MSE in cloned-state control, winning in all nine dense continuous-control environments of a 13-environment sweep and recovering the reference gradient direction near-perfectly, and it improves frozen-LLM gradient calibration relative to entropy branching. In online single-turn math, tree-local credit beats flat GRPO, while branch placement is secondary to token-level credit assignment. In online multi-turn Wordle, EPIG attains the highest final win rate (0.850), overtaking flat GRPO, which saturates early at 0.790, and entropy branching as training proceeds, confirming that the gradient-estimation advantage transfers to a stateful, large-action setting.
These results support accounting for selection history when constructing and evaluating search-agent rollouts and rank first on seven QA benchmarks using Qwen3-4B, Qwen3-8B, and Qwen2.5-7B.
Zeng-Huang Fu, Ning Chen, Ming-Da Jia et al.· 0 citations
Group Relative Policy Optimization (GRPO) and related policy-gradient methods for training language model agents collapse an entire multi-turn rollout into a single scalar trajectory reward before it enters the policy update. When the task composes distinct skills, especially under sparse and delayed environmental feed...
Mattie Terzolo, Mikolaj Sacha, Ayan Sinha et al.· 0 citations
Multistage stochastic model predictive control (MPC) handles uncertainty by optimizing over a scenario tree, a finite branching approximation of future outcomes constructed from sampled forecasts. To build such a tree, conventional methods focus on matching the underlying probability distribution---e.g., via Wasserstei...
Fabio Pavirani, Bert Claessens, Pierre Pinson et al.· 0 citations
Traditional reinforcement learning (RL) techniques focus on maximizing expected cumulative reward, where each action assumes to take a constant unit of time. However, this assumption does not hold for agentic RL tasks such as machine learning engineering (MLE) agents, where actions involve data loading, feature enginee...
A Gaussian guidance framework that draws the depth per task from a Gaussian whose center and spread are estimated online from rollouts already collected for policy optimization, requiring no probe rollouts or learned depth predictor is proposed.
Zi-Xuan Wang, Yan-Rui Miao, Zhengxi Lu et al.· 0 citations
It is argued that the right resolution is state-dependent, and GACA, a critic-free estimator whose granularity follows an uncertainty-based criticality proxy is proposed, improves task success over GRPO and GiGPO at both 1.5B and 7B scales.
Tao Liang, Yang Liu, Shang Luo et al.· 1 citation
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