Polygenic risk score for early identification of coronary artery disease in a real-world clinical setting within the Latvian patient population

Abstract

Study objective Polygenic risk scores (PRS) are increasingly recognized for their potential to improve coronary artery disease (CAD) prediction beyond traditional clinical models. This study evaluated the utility of genome-wide association study (GWAS) - derived PRS and pathway-specific PRS (PS-PRS) in the Latvian population, aiming to assess their association with CAD and compare their predictive performance with conventional risk factors. Design, participants and main outcome measures The study included 90 early-onset CAD patients and 43 controls with no evidence of atherosclerotic lesions on coronary angiography, with next-generation sequencing performed. PRS was calculated using 192 single nucleotide variants identified from the CARDIoGRAMplusC4D GWAS meta-analysis. The predictive accuracy of PRS, PS-PRS, clinical risk factors, and their combinations was analyzed via ROC curves. Results The average age was 48.7 years in CAD patients and 49.8 in controls. CAD patients showed significantly higher PRS (mean 0.31) compared to controls (mean − 0.65; p < 0.0001). PRS alone had moderate discriminatory power (AUC = 0.773), slightly lower than LDL cholesterol (AUC = 0.775) and total cholesterol (AUC = 0.821). Combining clinical risk factors improved prediction (AUC = 0.872), with the highest accuracy when PRS was integrated with all clinical factors (AUC = 0.933). The PRS distributions were significantly elevated in early-onset CAD patients across the angiogenesis/tissue repair pathway (p = 0.00038), inflammation pathway (p = 0.043), vascular remodelling pathway (p = 0.0116), and pathway of genes with unknown function in atherosclerosis (p = 0.0035), but overall PRS demonstrated superior discrimination compared to pathway-specific PRS. Conclusions Incorporating PRS enhances early-onset CAD risk prediction. Pathway specific PRS had lower discriminative ability than the overall PRS.